The Toronto Maple Leafs welcome the Carolina Hurricanes on Friday.
The pregame narrative: Both teams are undergoing some mixed results as of late, but we’re happily siding with the home team at a reasonable number. They’re also among the NHL’s best under squads, making that a wager we’re looking to target. Lastly, we’ll fade Toronto on its shot prop.
Check out our Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs picks for March 17.
NHL odds as of 10:05 a.m. on 03/17/2023.
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs picks
Best Bet : Maple Leafs moneyline (-122)
Toronto and Carolina have both lost two of their last three, but we’re more concerned about the latter.
The Hurricanes did manage a 5-3 win over the Winnipeg Jets in their most recent outing, but it’d be foolish to ignore their previous two contests. They lost those games by a combined score of 7-0, losing badly to quality teams in the Vegas Golden Knights and New Jersey Devils.
The Maple Leafs present another worthy foe, sitting second in the Atlantic Division with 89 points. They’ve lost back-to-back games but each was a one-goal loss, with their latest coming in a shootout against the Colorado Avalanche.
Being at Scotiabank Arena’s a big advantage for Toronto, as the squad’s 24-7-5 home record is the third-best in the NHL.
Key stat: The Canes (.860) have the eighth-worst team save percentage in the NHL over the last seven days, according to Natural Stat Trick.
Under 6 goals (-112) : Each team’s season-long track record suggests a low-scoring game is in the cards. Carolina has the fifth-highest under percentage (55.3%) in the NHL this year while Toronto ranks ninth (53.7%).
The under on this total has either hit or pushed in three of the Hurricanes’ last four contests and in three of the Maple Leafs’ last five. It also hit in the lone meeting between these squads this season (3-1 TOR).
Maple Leafs under 29.5 shots on goal (-112) : Although we’re expecting Toronto to win, we’re not expecting many shots on goal from the home side.
Carolina’s allowing a league-low 25.7 shots per game this year, holding each of its last nine opponents below this total.
The Maple Leafs are registering 31.9 shots per contest, but have fallen short of this mark in three of their last four.
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